JL: So I’m guessing you had a busy week.
CASH: How can you tell? I know you can’t see the dark circles under my eyes through the phone. Is my voice twitching?
JL: Haha -- no, you sound fine. But the calendar really picked back up. You had to be in there making all kinds of moves.
CASH: You’re starting to sound like a trader now! I like it!
JL: Whaddaya mean “sound” like a trader? I’ve been runnin’ and gunnin’ for as long as you… maybe just not as quick on the draw…
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CASH: I know, I’m just playing with ya. Our mutual love of markets is how we became friends in the first place. And yes, there were a bunch of deals this week. It’s definitely kept me busy. We already talked about what a success Intrepid Potash (IPI:NYSE) was right out of the gate, and the stock actually booked an even higher close on Friday. What a great story!
JL: Are you buying more IPI then?
CASH: Not right this moment. I’m still holding half of my position to see where the momentum takes it, but I wouldn’t be a big buyer again just yet. Patience is a virtue…
JL: Indeed. Speaking of patience, what happened with American Waterworks? You weren’t too excited about the short-term prospects on that one. I think you were getting a share allocation when we last talked.
CASH: Ugh. Yeah, I got all I wanted on that deal.
Previously in the Cash McDash series: Cash Explains the Options Game The Beginning: Introducing Cash McDash |
JL: Uh-oh. If you never get enough of the good ones, that’s not great sign.
CASH: You can say that again. When you get all the stock you signed on for and your guy calls you back and says, “Great news! I can get you another 10,000 shares, no problemo!” you know it’s going to be a long day.
JL: So did you, ah, take a bath on American Waterworks then?
CASH: Ouch, bad pun alert. Nah, I’m too slippery for that. I got dinged, but it was small beer compared to my IPI gains. I’m now actually out of American Waterworks completely. But my guys are all thankful that I took shares off their hands… and their managers are excited to see that I’m still long.
JL: Come again? You said you were out of the stock completely, but the managers still think you’re long it?
CASH: Heh. This kind of thing is a big reason why we use a pen name in these conversations.
JL: That and the fact it’s fun to goof around with your name.
CASH: True -- can’t underestimate the value of having a little fun. But as far as day-to-day trading goes, I play little games with these underwriters all the time. It’s not uncommon for a “long” position with one investment house to be neutralized by a “short” position elsewhere -- without the first party being any the wiser. This isn’t anything exceptional. It’s just a part of doing business when your business involves maintaining relationships on the street. With a stock like American Waterworks (AWK:NYSE), I knew I’d have to protect myself by taking some “covert action.” So I did.
JL: For the benefit of our readers, can you quickly hit the highlights of what made AWK a bad deal? What were the danger signs, or clues, if you will?
CASH: Sure. Since AWK didn’t have enough demand from the get-go, they had to lower the price significantly to get the deal done. That was clue No. 1. Clue No. 2 was when I got all the stock I asked for from at least from different brokers. With that, I knew they were having trouble finding a home for all the shares -- certainly not a positive development. Finally, when the actual stock issued, it immediately traded down 50 cents or more. That put me in full damage-control mode.
JL: So what does that look like? Explain how you control the damage without stepping on the toes of the underwriters. Obviously, we know that if you just liquidate your holdings en masse, the underwriters will get their feelings hurt and you won’t be on the list the next time a good deal prices.
CASH: Right. I went to a good discount broker, another of my many contacts, and got a borrow on the stock. In other words, I found someplace else to short it. Sometimes this is difficult and I have to look more than one place before I find stock I can short.
JL: To keep our readers up to speed, let me get this straight. In order to short a stock, a trader first has to get a legal “borrow,” which involves finding someone else’s long shares. The trader then sells this “borrowed” stock on the market, with the understanding that he will eventually re-purchase the shares and return them to the broker. And this is all usually pretty cut and dry established stocks, but can take a bit more time to pull off with a brand-new or thinly traded stock.
CASH: Exactly. So once I got hold of a borrow, I spent the rest of the day shorting the same amount of American Waterworks stock I held long in my underwriter accounts. So now, if AWK trades up big, I’ll be ticked because I’ll lose just as much on my shorts as I make on my longs. That’s the price of neutralizing the downside.
JL: But you don’t see a big uptick for AWK anyway.
CASH: Nope. I’ve been doing this a very long time, and it’s rare to see a name with three starting strikes against it suddenly turn around and trade well.
JL: So after dodging that bullet, did your week end up ok?
CASH: Oh yeah. I’m all about this kind of market environment. Of the 10 deals that priced this past week -- four IPOs and six secondary offerings -- AWK was the only one that traded negatively. This points to a good bit of liquidity in the market, and is a good sign short-term for stocks in general. Additionally, it opens the door for more companies to follow suit and bring their stock to market, too.
JL: So does that mean you’re going to be working double shifts while the good times roll?
CASH: Yeah, you definitely have to seize the moment when the opportunity presents itself. Right now there are two IPOs and three secondary offerings on the calendar for the coming week…. if it’s anything like what we saw the last couple of weeks, that number will be higher by the time all is said and done.
JL: Anything that specifically catches your eye?
CASH: The secondary offerings have my attention this time around. For instance, MSCI Inc., a spinoff from Morgan Stanley in November, is coming back to market to offer more shares. I’m not a fan of the name long-term, but it should get some attention simply because of strong name recognition. Honestly, once the deal is complete and the hype is over, this could be an excellent short. But that’s more of a midsummer trade. We’ll have to come back to this name a little later.
JL: Gotcha. That sounds like the kind of name that would apply to a select group of our readers -- the ones interested in getting a real-time look at your trading moves and top picks.
CASH: Here’s another one with a bit of broad appeal: Interactive Brokers (IBKR:NASDAQ) is pricing a secondary offering after announcing a great first quarter. The capital raised appears to be going to employees, directors and executives, so it won’t be expressly beneficial to the company. But the fact that the stock ramped higher on the announcement is a great sign.
JL: Is this a name you’ve followed for a while?
CASH: Actually, I’ve known this company since long before they were public. Their main offering is a platform that individuals can use to trade stocks, options, futures and many international markets. You could say they’re an “E-Trade on steroids.”
JL: Sure, I know ‘em well, too. I’ve got an account with Interactive Brokers myself. They let you trade just about every exchange on the planet. Their mandatory trading software isn’t for the faint of heart, though. Getting used to it is like stepping into an airplane cockpit.
CASH: Yep, those are the guys. They’re really oriented towards the pro or semi-pro trader and do very little handholding -- great for some, but not so great for others.
JL: When did their IPO price again? I remember the news but not the date.
CASH: IBKR priced in May of last year. I’ve been pretty much watching them from the sidelines for most of the time, as the share price has had difficulty making headway. But as their earnings continue to grow and the stock stays flat, the value is building in the shares.
JL: So what happened to the stock in March? It looks like IBKR took a nasty swan dive.
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CASH: They got caught along with every other financial company when liquidity dried up and the overall financial industry was gripped with fear. But these guys are no E-trade in another important way: They’ve got a ton of cash. The company has assured investors that it has ample capital to deal with counterparty risk, and their risk management systems are very good at closing out accounts before too many bad trades hit the balance sheet.
JL: Just like your early trading years.
CASH: Hey now, that’s not funny!
JL: Come on now, it’s at least a little funny. We’ve all been through that learning curve. The great Cash McDash wasn’t an astute trader from day one, was he?
CASH: True, true. We’ve all taken our lumps. But anyway, I think IBKR is potentially a good buy here, both from its technical break higher and its strong fundamental backdrop.
JL: And what about the rest of the new issues market?
CASH: The new issues market will likely stay busy for several weeks… but I think next week we’ll move over to the dark side and cover one or two new short ideas. I don’t want readers to get caught sipping the Kool-Aid and forget that we live in challenging times.
JL: Sounds like a plan. Talk to you then.

